Browse Data and Analysis

Egypt maintains a steady production of sugarcane, however sugar beet production areas are expanding. FAS Cairo (Post) forecasts refined sugar production in marketing year (MY) 2022/23 to increase by approximately 2.5 percent, or 70,000 metric tons (MT), to reach 2.92 million metric tons (MMT).

Private sugar mill expansion and higher rainfall as a result of La Nina weather patterns are expected to increase sugarcane yields, leading to increased sugar production in 2022/23. Despite the expected increase in production, imports of raw sugar are also forecast to increase, mainly due to higher sugar demand from the growing food and beverage industry.

Sugar production in Venezuela for MY 2022/23 is forecast to increase by 39% to 265,000 MT. The increase is primarily due to yield gains as a result of better access to quality inputs and a reduction in diesel shortages, as well as more favorable prices for producers.

Brazil’s Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 sugarcane crop is forecast to recover to 613 million metric tons (mmt), an increase of six percent compared to the final estimate for MY 2021/22 (576 mmt), supported by better weather conditions vis-à-vis the previous year.

In response to an increase in the seasonal sugar beet purchase price, farmers are expected to plant more beets in MY 2022/23. In parallel with expanded plantings, beet sugar production in MY 2022/23 is forecast up year-over-year to 3.1 million metric tons (MMT).

EU27 sugar production forecast for market year (MY) 2022/23 is projected at 16.3 million metric tons (MMT), as farmers reduce sugar beet plantings in favor of more profitable crops. That is a decrease of 250,000 MT below the MY 2021/22 production, but 340,000 MT above MY 2020/21.

In marketing year (MY) 2022/23, Colombia's sugar production is forecast to remain unchanged at 2.3 million metric tons (MT). Although weather conditions are expected to return to normal, crop productivity could be affected by lower fertilizer use due to rising prices.

Indian centrifugal sugar production in market year (MY) 2022/2023 (October-September) is forecast to decline three percent to 35.8 million metric tons (MMT), equivalent to 33.4 MMT of crystal white sugar after a record production of 36.8 MMT (equivalent to 34.4 MMT of crystal white sugar) in MY 2021/2022.

Post forecasts Kenya’s sugar production will decrease 4 percent in marketing year (MY) 2022/23 from 690,000 metric tons (MT) to 660,000 MT due to lower sugarcane yields as high fertilizer prices trigger lower application.

Post forecasts that the South African sugar cane crop will expand by 9 percent to 18.8 million metric tons (MT) in the 2022/23 market year (MY), based on a return to normal weather conditions, an improvement in yields, and marginal increases in planted area.

With expected normal rainfall patterns over the main sugarcane production zones, Post forecasts sugar production in the Dominican Republic to be 630,000 metric tons (MT) in Marketing Year (MY) 2022/2023 (October/September), a 2 percent increase over the previous period last year.

Sugar production in marketing year MY 2022/23 is forecast to decrease to 530,000 MT, down five percent from the MY 2020/21 estimate, due to fertilizer and pesticide price increases during 2021, and despite a slight increase in planted area of 1,000 hectares.