Browse Data and Analysis

This biannual report, published in June and December, includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in coffee.

The Agricultural Trade Office (ATO)/Sao Paulo estimate for the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year (MY) 2021/22 (July-June) remains unchanged at 56.3 million 60-kg bags, a significant decrease of 19 percent compared to last year’s record output of 69.9 million bags.

In marketing year (MY) 2021/22, Post's revised Colombian coffee production forecast is down to 13.8 million bags (1 bag = 60 kilograms) green bean equivalent (GBE), due to potentially heavy rains from the La Niña weather phenomena that is projected to materialize towards the end of 2021 and the beginning of 2022

Post estimates marketing year (MY) 2021/22 coffee production (October/September) at 5.53 million 60-kilogram bags. Unseasonal rains in November are expected to negatively impact Arabica crop yields and delay the harvest by at least two weeks, which will be offset by higher yields of Robusta leading to a six percent increase in overall coffee yields.

Coffee production is revised down slightly to 10.58 million (60 kilogram) bags in 2021/22 on lower yields due to unfavorable weather in northern Sumatera, as well as southern Sumatera’s experiencing an off-crop year.

Posts revised its forecast of Vietnam coffee production for marketing year 2021/2022 (MY21/22) up to 31.1 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), on improved weather conditions that supported yields.

Marketing year (MY) 2021/22 production and exports are forecast to hold steady from MY 2020/21 as farmers take old trees out of production via stumping.

This biannual report, published in June and December, includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in coffee.

This report is one in a series of product briefs highlighting the tariff benefits for specific commodities and products from Year 3 (2021) to Year 5 (2023) of the agreement.

FAS Nairobi forecasts Kenya’s coffee production will increase in marketing year 2021/22 due to anticipated good weather and improved farm practices in response to higher prices.

Based on preliminary projections, Costa Rican coffee production is expected to increase slightly in MY 2021/2022.

Coffee production in marketing year (MY) 2020/2021 experienced a 15 percent drop compared to the previous year.