Ukraine: Livestock and Products Annual
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Post expects livestock numbers and beef production to continue their decrease through 2025. Beef production efficiency remains low, with the majority of beef derived from dairy and dual-purpose animals. Exports of both live animals and beef will decline due to lower animal inventory. Domestic beef consumption remains depressed due to low disposable incomes and competition with poultry and pork. Post predicts the 2024 pork price decline will precipitate a revenue drop for producers and will result in a pig number drop by the end of 2024. Similar performance is expected in 2025. Ukraine’s low domestic pork price will keep imports at low levels in 2024, with some rebound in 2025. Pork exports will remain hampered by African Swine Fever (ASF). The number of ASF cases is notably rising, endangering commercial production and trade.