Japan 2020 Export Highlights

Top 10 U.S. Agricultural Exports to Japan

(values in million USD)
Commodity  2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2019-2020 % Change 2016-2020 Average
Beef & Beef Products 1,510 1,889 2,102 1,950 1,944 0% 1,879
Corn 2,091 2,163 2,813 2,001 1,846 -8% 2,183
Pork & Pork Products 1,553 1,626 1,631 1,523 1,626 7% 1,592
Soybeans 1,000 973 927 971 1,063 10% 987
Wheat 604 714 717 609 635 4% 656
Hay 374 414 426 491 487 -1% 438
Processed Vegetables 477 510 502 499 467 -6% 491
Tree Nuts 374 398 434 416 386 -7% 402
Dairy Products 206 291 269 282 322 14% 274
Fresh Fruit 343 316 319 323 315 -3% 323
All Other 2,496 2,620 2,785 2,674 2,395 -10% 2,594
Total Exported 11,030 11,915 12,925 11,740 11,487 -2% 11,819

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Trade Data - BICO HS-10

Highlights

In 2020, Japan moved up from the fifth to the fourth-largest U.S. agricultural export market, with exports valued at $11.5 billion. This occurred despite a 2-percent decrease from 2019’s $11.7 billion export value. The United States maintained the No. 1 market share for Japan at 24 percent, followed by the EU27+UK at 13 percent and China at 12 percent. In October 2019, the United States and Japan signed the United States–Japan Trade Agreement (USJTA), making more than 90 percent of U.S. agricultural exports to Japan duty-free or eligible for preferential tariff access. The largest export growth for U.S. agriculture to Japan was in pork (up $102 million), soybeans (up $93 million), dairy (up $40 million), and wheat (up $26 million). The largest reductions were in corn (down $155 million), processed vegetables (down $32 million), tree nuts (down $30 million), and fresh fruit (down $9 million). Despite these declines, Japan maintained its position as the top market for U.S. beef & beef products, rice, and hay.

Drivers

  • Improved market access achieved through USJTA with Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership signatories and European Union members created a more competitive environment for U.S. exports.
  • The reduction of tariffs on cheese products and complete elimination of import duties on products such as milk albumin and lactose, combined with COVID-19 associated disruptions to Japan’s supply chain, prompted shifts in overall dairy imports by Japan.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic had little impact on Japanese feed demand, and the United States remained the largest supplier of corn, soybeans, and hay in 2020.
  • The United States recaptured the position of largest supplier of beef and pork products to Japan as tariff reductions went into effect and supply disruptions hit Australian and European Union competitors.

Japan’s Agricultural Suppliers

Stacked bar graph showing Japan's top agricultural suppliers in 2020.

Looking Ahead

Reductions in tariffs on the largest agricultural producing nations, including the United States, will continue to drive competition in the Japanese market in the short term. As Japan recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic and demand for key products such as beef and pork return to pre-pandemic levels, the United States stands to significantly improve market share and export values. However, Japan’s declining population will limit opportunities for long-term growth in the United States’ fourth largest agricultural export destination. Several products, most notably rice, were excluded from Phase One of the agreement and remain at a market access disadvantage compared to competing nations. The United States will continue efforts to improve market access and achieve an equitable trade environment in Japan.

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